Livorno vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 1
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
ACL
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 3
LIV
18%
24%
57%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
COM
3 - 1
REG
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 1
COM
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
LEC
57%
24%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 2
COM
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
ASL
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |