Livorno vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEC
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 3
LIV
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASC
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 0
CHI
32%
27%
40%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 2
INT
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UDI
1 - 1
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
MOD
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |