Livorno vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAG
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 3
LIV
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LIV
4 - 2
COS
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
VIC
0 - 0
LIV
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
SIE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CAT
3 - 1
TER
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CAT
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CAT
0 - 2
COS
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |