Livorno vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
SAL
1 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
LIV
3 - 2
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
UDI
2 - 1
LIV
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
LIV
2 - 0
COM
42%
29%
30%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
SAL
0 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 0
CAG
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
CAT
0 - 0
UDI
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAT
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |