Livorno vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 0
CUN
74%
18%
9%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 2
RAV
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEC
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PAD
5 - 1
LIV
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 2
LIV
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
PIC
71%
20%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAS
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
REN
53%
26%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAT
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BIS
2 - 1
CAS
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |