Livorno vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
PRO
0 - 0
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
0 - 2
INT
33%
24%
43%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 3
ROM
21%
20%
59%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEO
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
LAZ
3 - 2
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
USA
2 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
4 - 0
PRO
37%
24%
38%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
2 - 2
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
ROM
3 - 1
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
GEN
9%
15%
76%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +2 |