Livorno vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
SPA
2 - 4
LIV
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 0
ARZ
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 1
LIV
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 2
LIV
16%
24%
60%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASL
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
PAD
4 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 2
ABN
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |