Livorno vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
REG
3 - 0
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
LIV
1 - 1
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
LIV
32%
23%
46%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 1
LIV
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PAD
7 - 5
LIV
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRE
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
CAR
0 - 2
ACM
21%
21%
58%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
TRI
2 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
16%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CAR
2 - 0
COM
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +2 |