Livorno vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 4
BV5
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 2
LIV
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
LIV
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 1
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UDI
5 - 3
LIV
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
JUS
0 - 2
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |