Livorno vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 3
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LIV
4 - 1
PRG
77%
17%
7%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
BEN
44%
25%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 0
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
VIR
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAD
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 2
PIS
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |