Livorno vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 0
LIV
49%
27%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
LIV
3 - 1
SPA
39%
32%
30%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 2
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
47%
31%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 1
CES
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
56%
27%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
PRG
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
USF
2 - 0
PAD
64%
24%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
PAD
2 - 1
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |