Livorno vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 3
GEN
45%
30%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
MES
2 - 0
LIV
38%
32%
31%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 1
LIV
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
PRG
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAD
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PAD
3 - 0
POT
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 2
USF
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |