Livorno vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
26%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
NOV
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
1 - 2
VAR
42%
24%
35%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
USA
1 - 0
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
FCC
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
MAN
2 - 0
LIV
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
PAD
5 - 0
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAD
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
PAD
2 - 1
PIS
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAD
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
PAD
1 - 3
PAL
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |