Livorno vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
LIV
0 - 0
JUV
22%
22%
56%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
BOL
1 - 0
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
LIV
3 - 2
USA
42%
24%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
CAS
4 - 4
LIV
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
LIV
0 - 0
BRE
47%
23%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
TOR
4 - 2
PAD
73%
15%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1934 |
PAD
1 - 0
ROM
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAD
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 2
JUV
23%
23%
55%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAD
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |