Livorno vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
LIV
3 - 0
NAP
22%
19%
59%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
MOD
6 - 0
LIV
46%
23%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 0
TOR
23%
21%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
JUV
4 - 1
LIV
76%
14%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
INT
6 - 2
LIV
83%
11%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
7 - 0
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
USA
4 - 2
PAD
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
40%
24%
35%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 0
TOR
21%
20%
60%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
MOD
0 - 2
PAD
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |