Livorno vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 1
LIV
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
MOD
3 - 1
LIV
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
LIV
0 - 0
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
VER
2 - 0
LIV
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAR
37%
31%
32%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
LEC
3 - 0
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
VER
0 - 0
LEC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
LEC
1 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
POT
0 - 3
LEC
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
FCC
1 - 0
LEC
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |