Livorno vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
LIV
3 - 0
CAT
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
LIV
1 - 1
REG
41%
31%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
USF
2 - 2
LIV
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 0
LIV
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 0
VER
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
CAG
3 - 2
INT
29%
26%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
CAG
2 - 0
TOR
54%
26%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
CAG
2 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VIC
3 - 1
CAG
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
ACM
0 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |