Livorno vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
4 - 3
LIV
65%
19%
15%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
VER
2 - 0
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
LIV
1 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
BRE
2 - 0
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
LIV
2 - 0
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
USA
1 - 1
CAG
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
CAG
3 - 2
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 2
CAG
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
MES
2 - 2
CAG
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 1
TAR
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |