Livorno vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
LIV
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 2
PES
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 0
LIV
32%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
LIV
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LIV
4 - 2
CAT
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 1
FRO
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
BRE
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 2
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
SPE
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |