Livorno vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1935 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEO
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
ACM
1 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIV
81%
11%
8%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1935 |
BRE
1 - 1
INT
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
LAZ
4 - 0
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 1
TOR
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SAM
3 - 0
BRE
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
BRE
0 - 1
NAP
38%
25%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |