Livorno vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
ACL
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 3
LIV
18%
24%
57%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 1
LIV
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
LEC
70%
18%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 0
SIE
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
USC
1 - 2
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 0
PIS
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2000 |
REG
0 - 0
BRE
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 0
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |