Livorno vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
0 - 1
LIV
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
22%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
LIV
0 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 0
LIV
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
BOL
3 - 1
LAZ
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
TOR
4 - 0
BOL
78%
14%
9%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 0
MOD
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
SAM
0 - 1
BOL
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 0
TRI
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |