Livorno vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LIV
64%
18%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
LIV
1 - 1
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
LIV
0 - 0
TOR
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
VNZ
0 - 1
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
BOL
3 - 1
INT
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
27%
25%
49%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
BOL
2 - 2
TRI
76%
15%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
BOL
4 - 0
LAZ
62%
20%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |