Livorno vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 2
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 1
FIO
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
TOR
4 - 1
LIV
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACM
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
54%
22%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 3
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRI
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |