Livorno vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
REG
2 - 1
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 2
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEC
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 3
LIV
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 3
INT
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 0
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
4 - 1
REG
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 2
LEC
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 2
ATL
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |