Livorno vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 2
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
LIV
3 - 1
BOL
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 0
BAR
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACL
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 0
INT
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACL
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ACL
3 - 2
ROM
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |