Livorno vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.9%
33.3%
Draw
0-0
17.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.3%
39.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 0
USF
30%
32%
38%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
CAT
0 - 0
LIV
54%
29%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
CES
0 - 0
LIV
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 1
REG
29%
31%
40%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
PIA
1 - 1
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 0
PIA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAR
35%
32%
33%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCC
68%
22%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
USF
55%
27%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1969 |
FIO
0 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |