Livorno vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
REG
2 - 0
LIV
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 1
SAM
24%
29%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
USA
2 - 0
LIV
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 1
LIV
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 1
PAL
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 0
POT
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
SAM
2 - 0
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 0
USA
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
REG
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |