Livorno vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIV
18%
26%
57%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 0
CES
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 2
VER
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
REG
1 - 3
LIV
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 5
SPE
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
EMP
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRE
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 1
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
VIC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |