Livorno vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 0
LIV
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LIV
3 - 0
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ASC
0 - 1
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 0
SAL
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
ABN
1 - 1
LIV
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 2
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
VIC
1 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GEN
2 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABN
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 2
TER
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |