Livorno vs Alzano Virescit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 0
SPA
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 1
LIV
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ALV
2 - 2
REG
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
COM
2 - 1
ALV
61%
24%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ALV
0 - 2
ARZ
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PIS
2 - 0
ALV
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 3
LEC
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |