Livorno vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 2
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
LIV
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 2
COM
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
38%
26%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LIV
5 - 0
PIS
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 2
ACS
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ACS
3 - 1
OST
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SDT
3 - 1
ACS
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 0
BAR
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UNV
0 - 0
ACS
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |