Livorno vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
LIV
4 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIV
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2001 |
LIV
3 - 0
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
LIV
2 - 0
USA
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
REG
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 3
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
REG
0 - 2
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ABN
0 - 2
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |