Livorno vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
SAM
3 - 0
LIV
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
USA
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
MOD
2 - 2
LIV
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
LIV
4 - 1
FCC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 3
CAT
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
REG
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 1
REG
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
42%
29%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
CAT
3 - 0
REG
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
VER
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |