Livorno vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
UNI
1 - 1
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
VIC
2 - 1
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
3 - 1
ACP
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 0
TAR
69%
18%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
REG
3 - 2
BRE
50%
22%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
PRO
1 - 2
REG
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
NAP
3 - 1
REG
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
REG
4 - 1
TAR
77%
13%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
71%
16%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |