Livorno vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 0
TAR
69%
18%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
VER
5 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
3 - 0
EMP
57%
21%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 1
UDI
34%
23%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 0
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ACP
0 - 0
VIC
49%
23%
29%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
USA
1 - 1
ACP
73%
15%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
ACP
0 - 1
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
EMP
3 - 1
ACP
70%
17%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
ACP
4 - 0
BRE
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +2 |