Livorno vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SPE
0 - 0
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LIV
2 - 0
LEC
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ABN
0 - 0
LIV
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAD
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASL
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
TRE
1 - 1
ASS
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ASS
2 - 2
ABN
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CAR
3 - 2
ASS
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |