Livorno vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 0
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 1
FAN
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ATP
0 - 0
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 1
JUS
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 0
LIV
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
ASS
2 - 0
SAL
63%
19%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
VIC
0 - 0
ASS
63%
19%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ASS
2 - 3
BRE
58%
20%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ASS
1 - 1
REG
60%
19%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
JUS
1 - 1
ASS
49%
22%
30%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |