Livorno vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
ASS
0 - 0
LIV
53%
27%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
LIV
2 - 1
REG
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
LIV
2 - 1
TER
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 0
LIV
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
LIV
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
CES
1 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
USF
1 - 1
CES
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
CES
0 - 4
LAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
CES
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 0
CES
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |