Livorno vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 1
ACS
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 2
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
LIV
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 2
COM
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
38%
26%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 0
ARZ
20%
23%
56%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SER
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 1
ARZ
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ATT
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 3
ARZ
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |