Livorno vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 0
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 0
REN
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GER
2 - 2
LIV
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OLB
1 - 0
LIV
16%
23%
62%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASL
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 2
ARZ
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RCR
71%
18%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
USC
3 - 2
ARZ
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PIA
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ASL
2 - 2
ARZ
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |