Livorno vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 1
GEN
46%
30%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 0
LIV
47%
31%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
COM
2 - 0
LIV
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 2
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
ARZ
0 - 2
FIO
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
ARZ
1 - 1
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
SAM
3 - 0
ARZ
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
ARZ
0 - 0
VAR
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |