Livorno vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIV
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
PAD
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
VER
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
SAL
0 - 0
LIV
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 1
POT
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
VER
1 - 1
ARZ
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
ARZ
2 - 1
GEN
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
ARZ
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
ARZ
0 - 0
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 1
ARZ
69%
21%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |