Livorno Sub 17 vs Spezia Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAS
3 - 1
LIV
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 3
FIO
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SMP
4 - 1
LIV
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 2
TOR
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
LIV
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
VET
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPE
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SPE
3 - 0
PVE
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPE
50%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SPE
3 - 0
GEN
17%
20%
64%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +4 |