Livorno Sub 17 vs Novara Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
75.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
4 - 0
LIV
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 2
JUV
7%
14%
80%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
EMP
3 - 2
LIV
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 2
SPE
10%
16%
73%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAS
3 - 1
LIV
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Novara Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 0
VET
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 2
NOV
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
PVE
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
TRA
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GEN
4 - 1
NOV
65%
18%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |