Livingston vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
STJ
5 - 2
LIV
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 0
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 3
HAM
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CLY
3 - 2
LIV
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 0
QOS
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 0
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
STR
3 - 0
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ELG
2 - 3
STR
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
STR
3 - 1
STE
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
DUM
0 - 1
STR
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |