Livingston vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 1
HIB
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 1
HAM
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MHE
3 - 1
LIV
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
GLA
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
STJ
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
RAI
5 - 1
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
RAI
1 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
STI
0 - 2
RAI
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
AYR
1 - 1
RAI
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 1
ICT
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |