Livingston vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LIV
0 - 0
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CEL
5 - 1
LIV
73%
17%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIV
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 0
MHE
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
KIL
0 - 2
HOM
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MHE
2 - 1
KIL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
KIL
2 - 1
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
GLA
4 - 0
KIL
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |