Livingston vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
48%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
KIL
3 - 1
LIV
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LIV
0 - 1
DUN
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
HIB
7 - 0
LIV
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LIV
0 - 1
FAL
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
HOM
2 - 1
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
HOM
3 - 0
MHE
61%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 2
ABE
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 1
HOM
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
HOM
3 - 0
ABE
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |