Livingston vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
LIV
4 - 3
STR
30%
26%
45%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
HIB
1 - 0
LIV
55%
22%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 2
ABE
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
STR
5 - 2
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 2
GLA
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
HOM
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
STI
2 - 3
HOM
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
HOM
4 - 2
MHE
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |